Yesterday, Liz Pullen, asked a great question in response to a posting of my daily “Top New Empire Avenue Stocks” post:
In all of your evaluation, do you ever track and see how these recommendations do?
I do track the data, but up until now I had not analyzed any of it. So, last night I took a look at the recommendations from a week ago (Feb 21 specifically) and this is what I found…
On that day, I had 2 stocks on the main recommendation list and 10 more on the secondary list.
One of the people on the on the secondary recommendation list (LISACHELL) cancelled her account and I didn’t record the refund, so I have no choice but to leave that out of the analysis. The 2 stocks on the main list are up an average of 125% in one week. The 9 remaining stocks on the secondary list averaged a 96% gain.
If you had bought 200 shares in all 11 of these stocks when the recommendations were published, you would have spent 46,850e. Those shares were worth 93,322e last night, almost exactly double their initial value or a gain of 46,472e, and that doesn’t include the dividends earned.
Empire Avenue Tips 
Feb 29, 2012 @ 16:43:30
thanks Paul 🙂
Feb 29, 2012 @ 17:01:21
You betcha, Anne. It was good to find out how these recommendations have panned out and encouraging to see the results.
Feb 29, 2012 @ 16:53:14
Reblogged this on Empire Avenue Rocks!.
Feb 29, 2012 @ 17:06:32
Thanks Alex!
Mar 01, 2012 @ 01:53:23
Hi Paul,
I have started to buy stocks for all the those you are recommending and have seen my share price rise daily and now over 90e/share.
So well worth investing in these.
Regards
Colin
(e)SYDESJOKES
Mar 01, 2012 @ 10:10:49
That’s great to hear, Colin! Generally speaking buying these recommended stocks will not have a huge direct impact on share price because share price is based on buying/selling of your own shares and social media activity, but a 45,000e gain investing in each day’s recommendations will have a big impact on wealth. Then you can use that wealth to invest in missions or other users who will buy your shares, so indirectly it can certainly help your share price as well as net wealth.
Mar 01, 2012 @ 03:17:08
If you are frustrated with not enough wealth or eaves to buy others back you are missing the boat if you don’t pick up Paul’s daily recommendations. Do all win? No, but the overwhelming majority do. It takes me a total of 10 minutes to review my portfolio of 100+ newbies, sell or add to my position, and purchase all of Paul’s list. I net at least 75K a day extra eaves to spend. Thanks Paul for sharing and allowing me my soapbox.
Mar 01, 2012 @ 10:11:32
You’re welcome Dana and thanks for your “testimonial” 🙂
Mar 01, 2012 @ 05:41:13
Thank you Paul! I got 142XX eaves as a refund for 200 shares when LISACHELL’s Cancelled her account.
Mar 01, 2012 @ 05:51:01
Paul,i rechecked my refund via Export Bank History (CSV, 7 Days or last 10,000 transactions).It’s 14611.52 eaves for 200 shares.I owned in her.
Mar 01, 2012 @ 10:02:30
Thanks for checking! Holy smokes! That means here share price was 73.06e when she cancelled. She was at 25.46 the morning I recommended her which means a 14,611 -5,092 = 9,519e profit or 187% return!
Top New Empire Avenue Stocks – Mar 1, 2012 « Empire Avenue Tips
Mar 01, 2012 @ 07:38:24
Mar 01, 2012 @ 10:09:32
Thanks for responding to my question, Paul. My thought was actually not to pass judgment on your choices but to see whether you could look at which stocks rose, which ones declined and refine your selection criteria based on their performance.
But it could be that the factors that determine initial success depend on the individual, what’s going on with their social media activity or even how much spare time they have. It’s hard to tell who’s going to stick with EAv, learn the ropes and who is going to create an account out of curiosity, connect all their social networks and then never return!
Mar 01, 2012 @ 10:25:17
For me predicting whether a person will stay with EAv long term or not is huge deal because I monitor my portfolio fairly closely. When someone stays engaged in EAv long term, that’s ideal, but when someone leaves after a few days and I sell and make a good profit I’m OK with. I’ve made the best of that situation.
It would be interesting to try to better predict who will stay with EAv long term, though. If I were to do an experiment, in addition to dividend and share price I would look at things such as:
– Do they have a profile pic
– How many stocks are in their portfolio after the first day
– How many communities did they join
– How many EAv actions did they have on their first day
and see if they correlate with the odds of someone staying active.
Mar 01, 2012 @ 12:44:59
Great data there. I just wish I could be awake when the list comes out. It would certainly give me some extra points. I might make out because I am not paying an increased fast mover commission.
No matter what, I am happy to review you picks.
Enjoy
Bill, Lynn, and Friends of Bewitched!
Mar 01, 2012 @ 14:31:09
Bill, certainly the early you act on the recommendations the bigger your return, but most are still great values hours and even days after the list is published. Janet Callaway lives all the way out in Hawaii, 5 time zones behind us, and still finds good value.
Top New Empire Avenue Stocks – Mar 2, 2012 « Empire Avenue Tips
Mar 02, 2012 @ 05:55:26
Top New Empire Avenue Stocks – Mar 3, 2012 « Empire Avenue Tips
Mar 03, 2012 @ 07:42:28
Top New Empire Avenue Stocks – Mar 4, 2012 « Empire Avenue Tips
Mar 04, 2012 @ 08:13:31
Mar 27, 2012 @ 21:21:37
So Paul, when and how do you decide which ones to upgrade to 600 after the 7 day incubation period? which to keep at 200 and which to sell?
Mar 27, 2012 @ 22:12:28
Good question David. I have not really locked into a particular strategy on that yet. First of all, I don’t upgrade to 600 right after the 7th day. I try to make smaller buys over several days as a way of trying to create some sustained engagement. But most days I search for anyone with a yield > 0.9% that I’m not already maxed in and buy 100-150 shares. I also look for stocks that are < .9% and the share price is up a good bit that day.
Mar 29, 2012 @ 02:11:59
then do you sell off the newbies ever? I haven’t found a good way to tell if a stock is on a steady downslide, e.g. off 10-20% from a high. Have you?
I’m inclined to keep them, but not if they tank.
Mar 29, 2012 @ 06:35:17
David, currently I use empireave.net to do a good bit of my portfolio management. But I also wrote a couple of very limited programs that look at EAv actions to help with the management. That’d be something worth discussing in a future blog post.
Mar 29, 2012 @ 02:13:48
also of course the portfolio can get huge if full of inactive stocks
Top New Empire Avenue Stocks – April 26, 2012 « Empire Avenue Tips
Apr 26, 2012 @ 23:49:45
May 01, 2012 @ 08:38:03
So, mister, what do I do not to go broke from buying back from everybody but still create good relationships (buy not investing to small amount) and buy backs in the long haul. When “payback time” has gone, I might not have money to invest in your daily recommendations – which actually would be fun to follow and engage in 🙂
EKARLEHAV (total newbie 🙂
May 01, 2012 @ 09:55:29
Elisabeth, that’s a great question. All of us on Empire Avenue were new once. Most understand that in the early stages you don’t have enough eaves to match. If you’re intention is to eventually match all your shareholders, I would buy a few shares of each and post a shout on their wall saying “Thanks for the investment. Buying a few shares. As a newbies I don’t have enough eaves to match, but I will eventually.”
May 01, 2012 @ 11:30:47
Thanks, maybe “obvious”, but it’s good to know “best practices” to not go jumping in the biggest holes 🙂
May 15, 2012 @ 10:23:21
Thanks Paul. I found this very helpful!
May 15, 2012 @ 10:26:08
You’re welcome, Anthony. Glad to hear that.